We never win when we go 1-0 down...
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- Yeltz Forum Member
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- Joined: 27 Dec 2019, 23:17
We never win when we go 1-0 down...
Prompted by getting grumpy at going 1-0 on Tuesday night ('we never come back we go behind' I grumbled), I decided to do an analysis of results when we have gone behind since Paul Smith took over (my girlfriend somewhat pathetically telling me 'your autism is so sweet' coming downstairs to find me deep in spreadsheets), and so where better to share the results:
2019/2020* 2020/2021* 2021/2022 2022/2023 (PS) 2022/2023 (CN) 2022/2023 (all) 2023/2024 Overall Percentages
Won 4 0 3 1 2 3 0 10 21
Lost 5 3 6 5 4 9 6 29 62
Drew 2 1 3 0 1 1 1 8 17
Bottom line: since the start of the 2019 season, we fail to win in 4/5 matches where we go behind, and lose in 3/5. If we look only at the period since the start of the 2022 season, we lose 3/4, and in fact only win 1 in 10. In addition, since many of the turnarounds were from the Trophy run, the numbers get even more stark.
Conclusion: I was right. We do indeed never* come back.
*if never means usually,
2019/2020* 2020/2021* 2021/2022 2022/2023 (PS) 2022/2023 (CN) 2022/2023 (all) 2023/2024 Overall Percentages
Won 4 0 3 1 2 3 0 10 21
Lost 5 3 6 5 4 9 6 29 62
Drew 2 1 3 0 1 1 1 8 17
Bottom line: since the start of the 2019 season, we fail to win in 4/5 matches where we go behind, and lose in 3/5. If we look only at the period since the start of the 2022 season, we lose 3/4, and in fact only win 1 in 10. In addition, since many of the turnarounds were from the Trophy run, the numbers get even more stark.
Conclusion: I was right. We do indeed never* come back.
*if never means usually,
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- Yeltz Forum Member
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Re: We never win when we go 1-0 down...
Should also add that I have done this only because I am a nerd. There is no agenda here and I'm not building a case for anyone to be sacked!
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- Yeltz Forum Member
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Re: We never win when we go 1-0 down...
I was grumpy at how bad we played. I came to the conclusion we always lose when we play crap.
Disclaimer:
*no spreadsheets available. Other opinions are available.

Disclaimer:
*no spreadsheets available. Other opinions are available.


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- Yeltz Forum Member
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- Joined: 27 Dec 2019, 23:17
Re: We never win when we go 1-0 down...
In fairness, we went 1-0 that early I hadn't had chance to get annoyed with the performance by then.
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- Global Moderator
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Re: We never win when we go 1-0 down...
As the 2019-20 season "never happened" for statistical purposes can we please have the comparative data for (a) all matches, (b) excluding 2019-20 (c) 2019-20 only?fairweatherfan wrote: ↑25 Nov 2023, 09:09Prompted by getting grumpy at going 1-0 on Tuesday night ('we never come back we go behind' I grumbled), I decided to do an analysis of results when we have gone behind since Paul Smith took over (my girlfriend somewhat pathetically telling me 'your autism is so sweet' coming downstairs to find me deep in spreadsheets), and so where better to share the results:
2019/2020* 2020/2021* 2021/2022 2022/2023 (PS) 2022/2023 (CN) 2022/2023 (all) 2023/2024 Overall Percentages
Won 4 0 3 1 2 3 0 10 21
Lost 5 3 6 5 4 9 6 29 62
Drew 2 1 3 0 1 1 1 8 17
Bottom line: since the start of the 2019 season, we fail to win in 4/5 matches where we go behind, and lose in 3/5. If we look only at the period since the start of the 2022 season, we lose 3/4, and in fact only win 1 in 10. In addition, since many of the turnarounds were from the Trophy run, the numbers get even more stark.
Conclusion: I was right. We do indeed never* come back.
*if never means usually,
For extra marks, please split into league, cup and friendly matches Homework by the end of the week please

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- Yeltz Forum Member
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Re: We never win when we go 1-0 down...
playoff final
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- Yeltz Forum Member
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- Yeltz Forum Member
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- Joined: 27 Dec 2019, 23:17
Re: We never win when we go 1-0 down...
For the purposes here, I put it down as a win, treating the match length as 120 minutes.
It wasn't wasted on me that on the day I did this nonsense we actually came back to draw, although that was really rather the intention...
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- Global Moderator
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Re: We never win when we go 1-0 down...
I think a that lot of people were wasted in a different sense that day; before during or afterfairweatherfan wrote: ↑30 Nov 2023, 10:40For the purposes here, I put it down as a win, treating the match length as 120 minutes.
It wasn't wasted on me that on the day I did this nonsense we actually came back to draw, although that was really rather the intention...